刚看完柳叶刀上的这篇文章，给大伙摘录了几段，看原文总比别人解读后的好。

in the USA the ratio of COVID-19 hospitalisations to detected cases hospitalised has declined by about 50% in most states compared with previous peaks.2 Theproportion of COVID-19 patients in hospital who require intubation or are dying has declined by as much as 80–90% in Canada and South Africa.

大致翻译：

在美国，与之前的峰值相比，大多数州COVID-19住院病例与确诊病例的比例下降了约50%。在加拿大和南非，COVID-19住院患者中需要插管或濒临死亡的比例下降了80-90%。

increasing mask use, expanding vaccination coverage in people who have not been vaccinated, or delivering third doses of COVID-19 vaccines—taken in the next weeks will have limited impact on the course of the omicron wave. IHME estimates suggest that increasing use of masks to 80% of the population, for example,will only reduce cumulative infections over the next 4 months by 10%. Increasing COVID-19 vaccine boosters or vaccinating people who have not yet been vaccinated is unlikely to have any substantial impact on the omicron wave because by the time these interventions are scaled up the omicron wave will be largely over. Only in countries where the omicron wave has not yet started can expanding mask use in advance of the wave have a more substantial effect.

大致翻译：

在未来几周内增加口罩使用、扩大未接种疫苗的人群接种覆盖率，或提供第三剂COVID-19疫苗，将对omicron浪潮的进程产生有限的影响。例如，卫生与健康研究所的估计表明，将口罩的使用增加到80%，在未来4个月只会减少10%的累积感染。增加对COVID-19疫苗的支持或为尚未接种疫苗的人接种疫苗不太可能对omicron浪潮产生任何实质性影响，因为当这些干预措施扩大时，omicron浪潮将基本上结束。只有在omicron冲击波尚未开始的国家，在冲击波之前扩大口罩的使用才会有更实质性的效果。

Ps：（最后这句话说明咱们戴口罩还是很有用的，因为我们基本上都是动态清零，没有大范围的扩散。）

The latest omicron peaks are expected to come in the countries where the omicron wave has not yet started, such as in eastern Europe and southeast Asia. Actions to increase SARS-CoV-2 testing, for example, are likely to increase disruption by having more individuals excluded from work or school, but are unlikely to impact the course of the omicron wave. In the era of omicron,I believe that COVID-19 control strategies need to be reset. Given the speed and intensity of the omicron wave, in my view efforts to contact trace seem to be futile.

大致翻译：

预计最新的omicron峰值将出现在omicron尚未开始的国家，如东欧和东南亚。

例如，增加SARS-CoV-2检测的行动可能会使更多的人被排除在工作或学校之外，从而增加干扰，但不太可能影响欧米克隆波的进程。

在omicron时代，我认为COVID-19的控制策略需要重新设定。考虑到omicron的速度和强度，在我看来，试图追踪痕迹的努力似乎是徒劳的。

COVID-19 will become another recurrent disease that health systems and societies will have to manage. For example, the death toll from omicron seems to be similar in most countries to the level of a bad influenza season in northern hemisphere countries. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated the worse influenza season during the past decade in 2017–18 caused about52 000 influenza deaths with a likely peak of more than 1500 deaths per day.11 The era of extraordinary measures by government and societies to control SARS-CoV-2 transmission will be over.

大致翻译：

COVID-19将成为卫生系统和社会必须管理的另一种复发性疾病。例如，omicron病毒在大多数国家造成的死亡人数似乎与北半球国家严重流感季节的水平相似。据美国疾病控制和预防中心估计，2017-18年是过去十年中最严重的流感季节，导致约5.2万人死亡，高峰时期可能每天超过1500人死亡政府和社会为控制SARS-CoV-2的传播而采取非常措施的时代将结束。